Showing posts with label Evolucion Moral. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Evolucion Moral. Show all posts

Monday, July 8, 2013

Complexity in Economics

The subject of my deep interest are Complex Adaptive Systems and the way this theory has developed over the years to be applied to a variety of subjects and situations. have recently become somewhat more informed on the subject of the recent global economic crisis and how it has been a breaking point for the redefinition of the complete economic system. The 2008 economic crisis has had such a deep impact on world economy, that after over 4 years of having passed through times of deep turmoil and uncertainty, I have found no conclusive evidence that any nations has taken any specific, solid action towards even implying that this will not happen again.

In fact, the foundations of the current economic system have been maintained as if nothing had happened. Gruesome assumptions which became clear in a somewhat pathetic fashion, were well reflected by Alan Greenspan, Head of the Federal reserve at the time (2008), when declaring in front of the US congress, stating bluntly that he did not anticipate institutions or private companies would proceed in any other direction than in the utmost benefit of its shareholders. He at that hearing accepted he believed in the markets and their supposed power to restore equilibrium, condition which never arrived.

If we consider Mr. Greenspan to be one of the most respected and powerful men in the world economy at the time, this statement is baffling. How could he not have seen this crisis coming? In the aftermath, from Chile, a corner of the world that has followed the Monetarist doctrines faithfully,and a country which has diligently opened up its economy to the world according to the school of Chicago's gospel, I can respectfully say that the due reflections on the real causes of the crisis have not yet been carried out. The crisis has somewhat been left behind, maybe because we did not experience it first hand, and due to soaring commodity prices and increased internal demand due to 2010 earthquake reconstruction activities.

Our main universities are still far away from having an independent knowledge generating process, and have since the time of the military dictatorship, been in charge of producing generation after generation of economists who firmly defend the dogma of the free market economy, without so much as a thread of doubt regarding the foundations of the doctrine. The reasons for this may be multiple, such as a high percentage of Catholicism in the country, the effect of a repressive regime in the formation of alternate theories or independent thought, and the overhanging shadow of the US over Latin America, both through international investment as well as in the formation of minds in their elite campuses, minds that have taken, and still hold the main administrative seats in the economic direction of the country and the education policies at Chile's main Universities.

The foundations of the doctrine are clearly shaky, have been for over 50 years, and these weaknesses have been much more evident since the crisis, and even more so after Mr. Greenspan's words before congress. However, Chile apparently has not taken notice so far.

During 2011 I was in my second year pursuing a master's degree in Industrial Engineering at one of the most conservative and traditional universities in the country, the Pontifical Catholic University of Chile. This University was the think tank of the military dictatorship's economic team, elite which was educated mostly at Chicago's school of Business. I will not easily forget a macroeconomics class when, driven by the evident accumulation of assumptions for the construction of the economic model, I felt compelled to ask whether the moral aspect was ever present in the formation of economic policies, since the discussion had got to the point where externalities were being explained as inevitably having to be absorbed and assumed by the community housing the generator of the externality. Additionally, and following strictly the "invisible hand" dogma, this externality generator only thought about what maximized his own position.

How could this be regarded as the intention of an economic model which is there to maximize the well-being of society? Clearly there were some big winners and some big losers, and in that aspect, following my own experience when confronted with situations where great inequality was caused by my doing, a sense of social responsibility (ethics), I considered also drove actions.

Much to my dismay, my question was quickly discarded by the professor, a middle-aged economist with the usual credentials for professor at the university, a PhD at a US university, many years of teaching experience and little to no published papers. His argument was simply that the ethical question was not something relevant at the level of policy making, where an ethical process was expected, and rather the ethical controls were mainly applied to the organization, the middle management and operators.

Well, that is just great, i thought to myself. What I carried out with me that day was the deeper conviction that the ethical aspect of business was being ignored by those who needed it the most, and this attitude of no ethics for me, but indeed to those who work for me, is something that can be felt at the worker level as actually widespread in the Chilean idiosyncrasy.

I have therefore welcomed the real-world economics review as a fruitful source of fresh thinking in regard with the economics which affects the people on the street, and urge anyone interested in educating him/herself into alternate ways of thinking about the society that should be built through the knowledge of relevant economics, to investigate further, keep a close watch over the World Economics Association (please note how suspiciously little information can be found in internet regarding this organization) and begin to take part in the discussion.

What does this have to do with Complexity? Well, the economy can also benefit very much from having a Complex adaptive system model approach, proposal still in a nascent state, but which has been explored so far by researchers such as Dirk Helbing in articles such as Rethinking economics using complexity theory .

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Entrevista a Richard Dawkins - Nuevo libro


Esta es una entrevista el pasado 11 de septiembre a Richard Dawkins, Zoologo de la Universidad de Oxford, acerrimo defensor de la teoria de la evolucion, y apodado el "Rottweiler de Darwin" por su forma de fieramente defender su legado
En esta ocasion es entrevistado a causa de su ultimo libro, "The greatest show on earth", en el cual habla de las pruebas alrededor de todos nosotros que fundamentan que la evolucion tal como fue modelada y mostrada al mundo inicialmente por Charles Darwin, esta perpetuamente ocurriendo, y afecta cada aspecto de nuestra existencia.
El siguiente video es una introduccion del mismo profesor Dawkins sobre su libro.

Debo decir que felizmente espero añadir esta nueva obra a mi biblioteca en cuanto llegue desde Amazon, informado como a comienzos de octubre.

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Susan Blackmore sobre los Memes


Susan Blackmore, autora del libro "The Meme Machine", y en respuesta y desarrollo del concepto de Meme indicado por Richard Dawinks en su influyente libro "El gen egoista", define estos procesos de transferencia cultural y su modelacion como verdaderas "infecciones" a traves de los seres humanos.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Modelos Basados en Agente sobre Niveles de Conciencia - Paper

Este Paper se basa en estudios interdiciplinarios experimentales recientes que enfatizan los pasos al adquirir el lenguaje durante los primeros años de vida. Estos pasos son caracterizados como cambios en los niveles de consciencia. El objetivo es posicionar estos distintos niveles de consciencia en un marco CAS, un marco que se centra en agentes que aprenden vía la interacción de señales tales como gestos o balbuceos. El marco de CAS da un enfasis a la naturaleza social de la adquisicion del lenguaje y su evolucion. Los modelos descritos son exploratorios y no predictivos. Como tales, buscan sugerir nuevos mecanismos y experimentos que busquen aumentar nuestro entendimiento de la naturaleza del lenguaje.

Este Paper esta en ingles y publicado por el Santa Fe Institute.

Ve este paper aca

Saturday, April 25, 2009

Coevolucion de Sistemas Cooperativos - Paper

A traves de sistemas competitivos heterogeneso, asumiendo cooperacion interna y competencia No justa inter-sistema, este paper demuestra como la coevolucion de los parametros de este sistema (grado de competencia justa e injusta) depende de la provision externa de recursos. Este tipo de interaccion se encuentra en sistemas sociales, economicos, ecologicos y bioquimicos, y como un ejemplo, se considera el ejemplo de carteles vendedores de drogas.

El modelo consiste en una serie de unidades (individuos, maquinas, enzimas, etc.) agrupados en una serie de sistemas (organizaciones, fabricas, glyicosomas, etc.) cada uno compuesto por un numero fijo de unidades, y que pueden estar organizadas en tres configuraciones:
1.- Aislados (monomeros),
2.- Cooperando en parejas (dimeros), y
3.- Cooperando en grupos de a cuatro(tetrameros).

Las unidades involucradas en estas configuraciones cooperativas aumentan su habilidad al obtener recursos (clientes, materias primas, substarto, etc).

La disponibilidad de recursos puede ser alterada a traves de inhibidores. Cuando una unidad absorbe un inhibidor, su funcion se bloquea por un periodo de tiempo. Cuando la unidad pertenece a un dimero o tetramero, toda las otras unidades constituyentes tambien son bloqueadas como resultado de la absorcion de este inhibidor. Dos parametros caracterizan cada sistema: la fraccion de monomeros, y la produccion promedio de inhibidores por el sistema. Al usar algoritmos geneticos, observamos que la evolucion de los parametros del sistema mantiene sus valores promedio en el largo plazo para razones de abastecimiento latas y bajas, pero tiende a mostrar transiciones evolutivas globales cuando el abastecimiento de materias primas fluctua entre la abundancia y la escasez.

You can access this Paper here

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Behavioural Economics - Stealing


In this Video, DAn Ariely examines what are the probable bases for stealing. According to his experiments, there are several factors influencing the likelihood that someone will cheat or steal: "Distance" from money, Ingroup/Outgroup cheating incentive, anonimity, etc.

Apparently the capability to cheating is something endemic and widespread, albeit the cheating is normally small.

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Stepping outside the Moral Matrix



In this Video Jonathan Heidt proposes al alternative for stepping "outside" the moral matrix (just as in the movie The Matrix) we are all constantly immersed. Several things are proposed here:

1.- Human beings are born with an innitial draft in regard with moral principles, which are modelled afterwards (amplified or diminshed) by the environment. This is reinfoced by several other researchers, whose books I will comment later.

2.- Cooperation is reinforced by punishing the freeriders, and what is more, people will spend resources in this punishment, aiming towards a state of "Fairness". Please consider Axelrod's book Evolution of Cooperation for other good example of this conclusion.

3.- Basic differences in regard with the innitial moral aspects are shown between Liberal, Libertarian and Conservative points of view,

"If you want the thrith to stand clear before you, never be for or against. The struggle between "for" and "against" is the mind's worst disease - Sent ts'an, 700CE

ShareThis